Up For Debate - How Long Will The Pokemon Go Craze Last?

Written by Jon Sutton on Sun, Jul 24, 2016 4:00 PM
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There’s no doubting Pokemon Go has taken the world by storm over the past fortnight. Hundreds of millions of eager trainers have given the free game a download, and all sorts of crazy stories have sprung up surrounding its success. But the big question for Nintendo, Niantic and The Pokemon Company is - how long can this last?

All three partners will be desperate to ride this gravy train as long as possible, squeezing every last penny out of fans desperate to snag a rare Zapdos or Mew. What’s obvious right now though is that Pokemon Go is a global phenomenon remarkably light on content. There are only actually a few things you can really do - walk around looking for Pokemon and Poke Stops, walk around hatching eggs, or get stuck into some rudimentary battling at gyms.

Pokemon Go may be tugging at the nostalgia strings of millennials, and doing it very well, but that’s about it. The majority of people over the age of 30 who didn’t grow up with Pokemon probably wonder what the heck is going on. Once that initial giddy nostalgia rush passes for most of us, what’s left?

The paucity of content certainly raises a few questions over Pokemon Go’s longevity. When you think Pokemon you think of turn-based Pokemon battles, whereas what we have here is a shell of that system. A proper battling system is needed where players can take each other on while out and about. A trading system is also a must, giving players in more remote locations a chance to complete their collections.

Of course Niantic is probably beavering away on this as we speak, and it’s also got six more generations of Pokemon to fall back on. Catching 150 Pokemon is a big enough task as is, but there’s 600 more and counting still to be added to the base game. Is this enough to hook players in for the long term?

Over to you then. Are you still playing Pokemon Go? Do you think it has a long tail? How long until this craze fades away? Let us know what you think!

How long will Pokemon Go last?

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14:38 Jul-25-2016

Sure the playerbase will decrease a lot compared to the first week but thats to be expected. It happens with f2p MMOs and a lot of other similar games. However I think it will keep a substantial number of active players for a lot more than 2 months. They will add special events to catch mythical pokemon or whatever to renew interest and will add quite a lot more mechanics. If they left it in its current state of course it would decline very fast but thats not going to happen. Not now that they stumbled on a mountain of gold :P

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14:31 Jul-25-2016

What is Pokemon Go?

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15:13 Jul-25-2016

R-really? :D

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10:59 Jul-26-2016

a global data recorder and surveillance system by using pokemon fans as guinea pigs

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15:23 Jul-26-2016

I think what SogenSamurai wanted to say was this

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13:28 Jul-25-2016

There are tons of updates that hasn't been implemented yet like Make each restaurant, grocery, and even fast food restaurants as a pokestop and there are 721 pokemons and only a portion of them are available to catch. So it will be long.

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09:00 Jul-25-2016

The game hasn't even gotten its first up date yet and there are also still more countries left to finish the international launch.

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11:17 Jul-25-2016

uhm.... it already got 2 updates bro

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15:30 Jul-25-2016

Bug fixes are not updates they are patches.

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08:07 Jul-25-2016

it's certainly not lasting more than a year. only competitive games last that long and this is one really casual game.

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09:47 Jul-25-2016

How dare you say "casual"!!!you monster!!! youuuu :D

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14:23 Jul-25-2016

you mean...using your camera to catch some weird little things and walking around is competitive? if so, then the end of competitive games is nigh!

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14:36 Jul-25-2016

he was being sarcastic :P

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14:38 Jul-25-2016

i know :D

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07:03 Jul-25-2016

yeah, 2 months. don't get me wrong, there'll always be people playing it but it'll start declining maybe as low as 1-2% of the initial traffic in a few months.
as far as i'm concerned, mobile games are for when you're taking a long, uncomfortable poo and you need something to keep you occupied. they're the ones that survive, not games where you have to go outside.... f*** that.

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03:34 Jul-25-2016

i think would be like 2 or max of three months. this fever is like a viral video, the first weeks is all bout it... but a month later everybody will see it like a tbt.

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03:10 Jul-25-2016

If they keep adding more stuff, i doubt the game will die in a few months. They could prolong the longevity of thr game by adding another 150ish pokemon from another region (Johto for instance) and they need to do it periodically. Maybe next year they add Pokemons from Johto, at 2017 from Hoenn, and so on. The trading system could very well increase the longevity of the game too, it's mandatory, should've been there from the start.


I personally think they should reworked the battle system to be more like the original (turn based) because the battle is more like "button masher". No skill required. Adding battle in a random encounter would be cool too.

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01:40 Jul-25-2016

Most memes last about six months or so...

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06:05 Jul-25-2016

LOL

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23:48 Jul-24-2016

I hope soon

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21:47 Jul-24-2016

I give it a month.

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21:13 Jul-24-2016

Its gonna end when mass deaths start happening... i swear this is like some sick experiment on humans !

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20:07 Jul-24-2016

I cant play it as in my country has not arrived, but i would say this game will die in a month and a half.

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20:06 Jul-24-2016

The way its causing accidents and other incidents I think it might even get banned in some countries.I am not against the game but people should not get lost in it.

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21:20 Jul-24-2016

It's not causing accidents. People are causing accidents.

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22:45 Jul-24-2016

well if the game wasn't there then the people wouldn't caused accidents!
if there is no gun availability there would be less shotings! :/

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22:59 Jul-24-2016

There are not many accidents it's just that since pokemon go in the biggest thing happening right now so they report on everything that is happening. You see a story about a guy playing the game swiping a cop car but you don't see that people texting do that 100x over but it's just not news worthy because it is not pokemon. Cops shoot people pretty often in a country of 330 million but only the cops on blacks make it to the news because it grabs more attention.

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17:46 Jul-25-2016

TBF, if they're silly enough to run in front of a car for a poké game, I'm sure they will find something to do it with, even if Pokémon Go wasn't there.

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19:45 Jul-24-2016

I would say this game will die down once the hype train/casual players reach level 20. Once you get into the twenties the game becomes a total grind of evolving commons with lucky eggs, which will turn off a lot of casual players.

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18:59 Jul-24-2016

It needs to end now, people are doing krazy shiz in here.

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18:39 Jul-24-2016

I think it depends on how often they update it. In it's current state I would say about 2 months. If they can continue to add features thick and fast then I can't see it slowing down any time soon.

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18:30 Jul-24-2016

I want it to end,NOW

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18:21 Jul-24-2016

2 months, minimum. Unless they add more Pokemons

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21:10 Jul-24-2016

I believe they will eventually add more Pokemon a gen at a time. Will probably be a good amount of time between each one.

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18:20 Jul-24-2016

What? I dunno what you're talking about...Pokemon? Is that a cake?

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18:59 Jul-24-2016

Who?

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19:41 Jul-24-2016

Who?

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19:43 Jul-24-2016

I'm fairly sure if it were a cake, I would have heard of it.

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21:32 Jul-24-2016

Yeah cake of your phone:D

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