Investors Expects Battlefield V, COD BLOPS 4 and FIFA 18 to Outsell Red Dead Redemption 2

Written by Stuart Thomas on Thu, Jul 26, 2018 2:41 PM
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Investment specialist Piper Jaffray has revealed the sales and revenue expectations for this year’s biggest games, confirming that it expects both Call of Duty: Black Ops 4 and Battlefield 5 to outperform Rockstar’s Red Dead Redemption 2.

The big winner for the 2018 calendar is Call of Duty: Black Ops 4, which is Piper Jaffray believes will shift 21.5 million copies within its first three months on sale. The worst-case scenario for COD BLOPS 4 is still an impressive 19.4 million units. Basically, Call of Duty’s success is still practically untouchable, regardless of reviews, and they don’t predict that removing the single-player campaign is going to have any noticeable impact whatsoever. It’s expected Call of Duty: Black Ops 4 will earn revenues in excess of $1b by the start of 2019.

The second biggest game of the year is expected to be FIFA 19. Piper Jaffray believes 22 million copies of FIFA 19 will be sold by the end of March 2019. This is probably a pretty safe bet as FIFA 19 tends to sell predictable amounts year in, year out. It’s an absolute cash cow for EA and is expected to earn revenue of $913m for EA before even taking into account the microtransactions.

Call of Duty: Black Ops 4’s big competitor is Battlefield V though, which Piper Jaffray has for some reason referred to as Battlefield 6. Presumably, this is to keep an easy continuation from BF4 > BF1 > BFV for investors. Up to this point, Battlefield V has proven hugely controversial, yet the move back to WW2 is predicted to pay off in a big way. It’s predicted that Battlefield 5 will shift 16 million copies by the end of March 2019. It’s some way short of COD BLOPS 4, but these two franchises are now beginning to exist on a level playing field.

Red Dead Redemption 2 is the final point of contention in this market analysis. Piper Jaffray predicts that Red Dead Redemption 2 will sell 15.5 million copies by the end of March 2019, or 17.1m in a best-case scenario. This would mean Red Dead Redemption 2 is set to be outsold by Call of Duty, Battlefield V and FIFA 19, which goes to show just how huge those three franchises are.

We pretty much know for certain Red Dead Redemption 2 won’t sell anywhere near the levels of GTA V. A Western just doesn’t have the same cultural cache or appeal as GTA. However, Red Dead Redemption 2 is undeniably going to be an absolutely huge event and if Rockstar can’t outsell Battlefield V then it’s surely going to be chalked up as a disappointment.

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23:23 Jul-28-2018

I would sure like to know what those investors are smoking.

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14:49 Jul-30-2018

I want some if I could become that delusional haahha

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17:15 Jul-27-2018

Some of those investors may have been following the recent competition on GD here, and weren't impressed that RDR2 won :P

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22:53 Jul-26-2018

Oh boy, I'd like to take them op on that challenge, I'm pretty sure more people are hyped for the latest red dead game (last one is from 2010 and is considered one of the best video games of all time.)


Those other games are on a tighter release schedule


They have to do A LOT to mess this title up because the first was amazing, both online and off. They nailed online lobbies.

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07:07 Jul-27-2018

You know others will sell loads on PC as well. As for RDR2 there's no confirmation for PC launch.

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22:52 Jul-28-2018

Well you are talking about FIFA, COD and BF here, those titles always sell big on consoles indeed, maybe even better than pc. But so do rockstar titles, remember how GTA V sold? And then they also released on PC afterwards

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22:51 Jul-26-2018

FIFA 19 it should be

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22:54 Jul-26-2018

No one cares about it either way :)

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21:38 Jul-26-2018

HAHA! HAHAHA! PWAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHAHHAHAAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA!!!!!

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20:53 Jul-26-2018

Fifa always sells well but as for Blops 4 and battlefield V, I'm not so sure. People still have a bad taste in their mouth with BFV and the whole female controversy. And Blops 4 with their issues with the season pass.

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22:54 Jul-26-2018

and the battle royale fad killed it for alot of people.

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17:39 Jul-26-2018

Isn't RDR2 a console exclusive whereas the others will be released on consoles as well as PCs?

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17:43 Jul-26-2018

RDR2 Will come to PC aswell :)

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18:25 Jul-26-2018

whisper maybe whisper

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07:12 Jul-27-2018

By the time it comes to PC, EA would be marketing FIFA 2020.

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16:33 Jul-26-2018

Red Dead Redemption 2 will be a much better game than all of the others combined, but yeah, it will probably move less copies. The other games have fanatical fans that buy every iteration of those games, no questions asked. A lot of people are still worried about how far Rockstar is going to take online and MTXs.

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17:25 Jul-26-2018

Agreed, RDR2 should be a very good game and better quality than those cash-grab games that improves barely anything.

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23:15 Jul-26-2018

And sadly to say this shows the real face of the gaming community. People buy these cash grabs more than the quality games that is why company like EA and Ubisoft making them more and more.

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16:08 Jul-26-2018

i used to love call of duty but with bo4 going online only, ditching steam and removing sp campaign i cant see it doing that well at all and i wont be bothering with cod anymore, im moving over to battlefield for a while

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16:10 Jul-26-2018

same i purchased every cod except this one but they took it to far with this title so they aint getting my money ether and i been trying to preach to people to not buy this title if it does poorly maybe activision will smarten up a bit the same way ea did with battlefront 2 they pushed it to far and the community fought back

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17:24 Jul-26-2018

I would srtick with the game that has singleplayer experience, as i don´t really care for online features, im a lone PC player xD.

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18:03 Jul-26-2018

im the same

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01:42 Jul-27-2018

yeah im same, offline sp for me, if all games go down the online only road then i simply will never buy them and just miss out on them

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15:50 Jul-26-2018

I mean, Battlefield, COD and FIFA are mainstream games that come out every year or every other year, and there hasn't been a Red Dead game in almost a decade. So those games will most likely outsell Red Dead Redemption 2.

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11:10 Aug-10-2018

The Rockstar logo will do its job

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15:39 Jul-26-2018

The title has it written as Fifa 18 but .. Fifa 19 in the main article ..Typo..

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15:00 Jul-26-2018

At the start of the article "to outperformance", shouldn't it be "to outperform"


Other than that, I highly doubt that!
RD2 will sell a lot. So many people have been waiting for so long so I can't agree with the analyst.

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17:26 Jul-26-2018

other games are actually well known for all ages, example fifa has been the sme game with little improves other than graphical upgrade, but thats all, the same goes to battlefield and COD.

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14:47 Jul-26-2018

I doubt blackops 4 sells well it just doesen't look very impressive plus removal of the campaign. and I really enjoy Treyarch Cods but I will not be buying it.


Fifa well people like there football so it will sell


Battlefield v I expect will outsell cod


RD2 will sell a lot I mean people have been waiting for a sequal for so long so I don't really agree with this invester analyst at all.


But time will tell

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14:47 Jul-26-2018

soo one shady company is worried that another shady company will outsell a 3rd shady company...
And we have to care because....? Oh wait, with low investment opportunities, these companies "cant" sell well & make a decent profit, so they HAVE to turn to microtransactions & lootboxes, yes, no other way to survive in this doggy-dog-like world...

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14:43 Jul-26-2018

im not sure what the investors been snorting but black ops 4 most likely wont sell well with removal of campaign and locking season pass behind digital deluxe red dead 2 is totally going to outsell it it honestly wouldnt surprise me if black ops 4 sells worse then cod ww2 and honestly i hope it does for the slimey business practices they been doing

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15:51 Jul-26-2018

It's COD, it'll sell like sliced bread.

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15:52 Jul-26-2018

yes but its been declining sales for many years its past its prime and still going downhillso yes it will sell well but not like it use to back in the good old days

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