Semiconductor chips are the brain of every electronic device and so chip manufacturers tend to be in really high demand, and that was before the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic affected everyone across the world. Now, under extreme stress and demand, the global chip shortage has now reached a crisis point, says analyst.
“Chips are everything,” said Neil Campling, a Media and Tech Analyst at Mirabaud. “There is a perfect storm of supply and demand factors going on here. But basically, there is a new level of demand that can’t be kept up with, everyone is in crisis and it is getting worse.”
That is certainly true, as demand for electronic devices has surged in lockdown. Anywhere from brand new TVs, to next-gen gaming consoles, 5G smartphones and of course, all new graphics cards, have all seen a major increase in demand.
Previously, an analyst at J.P. Morgan said that “semi companies are shipping 10% to 30% below current demand levels and it will take at least 3-4 quarters for supply to catch up with demand and then another 1-2 quarters for inventories at customers/distribution channels to be replenished back to normal levels.”
The initial issue started when the pandemic hit, as factories had to close down temporarily to avoid spreading the virus. But since then, not only have semiconductor companies had to catch up, but they’ve also seen an increase in demand as mentioned above.
Even Apple, who are the largest buyers of semiconductors (who recently bought up all of the 3nm process nodes at TSMC for this year) had to delay their much anticipated iPhone 12 last year by 2 months due to the shortage in chips.
Car manufacturers like Ford and Nissan have reported projected losses of $2 billion or more in profits this year due to the shortage in chips alone. Both Sony and Microsoft have also been hit with the chip shortage because of their new consoles. Sony says they won’t be able to hit their sales target this year, whilst Microsoft said their issues with supply will last until at least the second half of this year.
Samsung, the second-largest buyer of semiconductors in the world (behind Apple) as well as the second-largest producer of chips for their own products, had to postpone their launch for their high-end smartphone earlier this week.
“It is incredible that Samsung sells $56bn of semiconductors to others, and consumes $36bn of them itself, finds it may have to delay the launch of one of its own products,” Campling said.
Apparently, according to Koh Dong-jin, the co-Chief Executive at Samsung, there is a “serious imbalance” when it comes to who is getting prioritized for the limited amount of available chips. Car manufacturers especially have been hit the worst as they are at the bottom of the list, despite spending a total of around $37 billion per year on chips.
“The worst affected have been autos because they were last to the party; if Apple is spending $56bn a year and growing who are you going to keep supplies going to first?” said Campling.
The worst part is that the shortage in chips is going to last for a long while still, and so semiconductor companies are looking to raise prices for their chips for the second time in less than a year:
“There is no sign of supply catching up, or demand decreasing, while prices are rising across the chain,” Campling warned. “This will cross over to people in the street. Expect cars to cost more, phones to cost more. This year’s iPhone is not going to be cheaper than last year.”
All this means we may be looking at another price rise for graphics cards and PC hardware for the RTX 30 series, RX 6000 series, and the Ryzen 5000 series, even if supply seems to be getting better for the latter. Once again, all the more reason that 2021 is not the year to upgrade your PC.
What do you think? How do you feel about the global chip shortage at the moment? How do you feel about raised prices for PC hardware again? Are you happy to wait longer for hardware to reach normal MSRP? Or will you have to bite the bullet and spend more? Let us know your thoughts!
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That moment when an off te shelf gaming laptop might become cheaper than building your own destkop. Wtf
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The crazy times we live in.
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20 series owners who bought their GPU at launch MSRP price, turn from being mocked to be one of the luckiest PC Hardware orwners just after those of 30 series launch MSRP prices buyer.
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Can't believe that I got my 3060 ti when it was $500, when now it is $1000
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If you were the patient type you could sell the 3060 ti for $1200 probably, bank $700 in profit and when the market returns to sanity buy an even better GPU, or one that's at the same lvl.
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Surely it can't get more expensive, when a 3070 costs 1000$, when it should be half that price
Although, these days...
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3060 is $900 here
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I've seen 5600XT go for $1000 USD, so prepare for the worst.
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I'm a patent person, because I don't need luxury items... but ffs this is ridiculous. I know it's not important, but jeez we need a break from this.
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It's not important? If my GPU breaks I'd have to quit gaming with these prices
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If prices keep up like this, I think companies that sell online gaming subscriptions will be in for a win. Oh, and also the consoles, because those always have a reasonable "initial" price. Sucks that you have to pay to play online though.
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GPUs are not food and water. It would suck, but have some patience.
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It's going like this for like 3 years
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There was no shortage in 2019. It only really started in late 2020 I think.
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@Dragos363 Q1 in 2021 should see prices return to more reasonable lvls.
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@Gankutsuou I think you meant 2022.
Q1 2021 has passed already. Almost.
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Ups, you're right.
My bad.
Guess my brain is still in 2020.
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Nah, I can wait, no need to rush upgrades. Before all this happened, I was thinking about it, but I am not overpaying for hardware, I am not yet doing that badly, at least not for 1080p. As for normalization, I think this will hugely depend on mining and how long current bubble lasts or how quickly ASICs can take over again. Which may be harder this time with component shortages.
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But as soon as mining crashes and miners start mass selling, I think supply could quickly fix itself, since a lot of demand will get satisfied with used cards. Which will help new supply to catch up and that will cause prices to normalize, because once again, they will need to compete for attention and compete against underpriced flood of used cards. Just ask AMD, it nearly killed RTG last time.
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When they couldn't move RX500 supply and had to stick to higher end cards to wait out for supply to sell out, hence why Vega had no lower end model and even with RDNA1, they were in no hurry to release RX5500XT. But we need to get there, usually mining crisis last for about a year. So I would say I expect things to normalize in about a year or bit more. Time will tell, I guess.
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Im so glad I preordered my strix 3080 in september at my local shop. It took 7 weeks to get to me, but still.. I received it with MSRP + my country VAT.
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One of the lucky few.
May it bring you years of fun and joy.
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I managed to secure my RTX 3070 before things got crazy so I'm good to go! I won't be upgrading for a very long time
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No question about that.
Have a blast with the 3070.
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I was so so lucky to be able to buy an FE 3070 on launch day. 5 months and it's been amazing for my gaming needs.
The 3070 ti specs are better, but won't be out until May and it did take a big spec hit from the past rumors. GDDR6X but the same amount of 8 gb memory rather than the 10 GB
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I'm glad to get a RTX2070 before Christmas :D
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My laptop is starting to fail on me. Been wanting to build a desktop, and may need to build it soon, but I'll have to wait a while to put a GPU in it. Good thing APU's are starting to come into their own.
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What's the problem with the laptop?
Is it the dedicated GPU?
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The HDD is failing, the wi-fi card is failing, the battery is failing, and I can't add more RAM. The GTX 1060 is still going well, but I also need a stronger CPU for work. I know an APU isn't ideal, but it's a temporary solution.
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All of the parts you mentioned can be replaced (should you wish to do so).
The only challenge might be finding a compatible wi-fi card.
What's your occupation BTW?
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Well Asus laptops is not as good as it used to be, last good Asus laptop I had was X52S series I bought in 2008, had no problems whatsoever and when I decided to upgrade in 2015 to a newer Asus X555L laptop I started to have issues with it just after half a year after issues like screen flickering on battery power, no sound (glad I had wireless headset)... and it only lasted 2 years until it died
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If you want good laptop look at used workstation/business class ones, because how well they are build.
My suggestion is to get something like Lenovo T520/T530 (T520 can support ivy bridge with bios mod) they are build like a tank and could be upgraded, like replace CPU to something like i7 3940XM (similar or better performance as your laptop) and use any desktop GPU over expresscard expansion
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It seems I should get a PS5 instead of a new graphics card, I know the chances of getting a console is still fairly slim but the stocks are getting better since launch and the fact that I could get it for the same MSRP vs a GPU nowadays.
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Ya, very hard to actually get your hands on one. But if you happen to come across one in a store, it will be at msrp, which is a big deal!
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And yet they continue to put out incremental upgrades year after year. It's the same with phones. Consumerism is F***ed. Bye-bye sand, it was nice knowing you.
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how unexpected...anyway
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were you planning on upgrading this year? i was but im not so sure anymore
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In other news water is wet.
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...Oh, boy!
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i wonder how good new AAA games will work on old hardware if nobody can get new cards. I guess good optimisation is back. :D
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I too was once a young boy with big dreams...
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That hit hard man.
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Slow Clap.
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Well to me this was kind of expected especially given how many people want me to build the new a new PC. I really need to replace my GTX 980 its almost 5 years old and its clean but its getting a bit hotter than usual and its really showing its age with the newer titles. I guess its a good thing I don't game all that much.
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What am I supposed to say with my 280x?
Anyway, if I had a gtx 980, I'd probably stick with it at least another 1-2 years.
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Wow! My current card (GTX 1660 OC 6GB) is retailing for $785.00 CAD + $99.00 Shipping on Newegg.ca Link
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woaah that's some insane pricing over there..
here we have GTX 1660S at 500 USD (After conversion)
RTX 3070 is 1100$ (insane)
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My cousin built his first rig and was able to snag a 3060 for just under CAD600 (plus taxes/shipping).. both a steal and a tragedy
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I have to say - what a first world problem to have lol. Oh noes, shiny new luxury products can't be printed out fast-enough! CRISIS!!!
I can't take it seriously... And cars! Why won't someone think of those poor poor car manufacturers?? Their 2019 and 2020 models are obsolete and crashing all the time...and don't even get me started on those 2018 models that have their wheels flying off already - what will we do without those brand new cars???!
What a joke...
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People had to wait for the new luxury iphones for TWO extra MONTHS! That's got to be violating human rights and the Geneva Convention!
Oh lord, I'm gonna cry... those poor poor people waiting for their luxury products...and CARS! We all know cars only last about 2 months before you need a new one... :(
Honestly, this article... it hit me in all the wrong places. I got slapped by the extreme levels of consumerism in the world here. Incredible...
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To be honest, I literally expect suicide rates to skyrocket over this, because people were basically trained into buying on release..I don't know whose fault this is, but this is one wheel that cannot sit idle, it either spins or breaks.
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Sounds like the Darwin awards.
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Life in eastern Europe taught me patience and to value things other than luxury toys, so I really can't say that I feel bad for the poor poor people that just can't sit still with money in their pockets... Nor can I feel bad for those poor poor companies making things that literally nobody needs. And I mean it. An older car is fine. And older phone is fine. They didn't suddenly become obsolete - especially the damn cars it's flippin 4 wheels and an engine in a metal box that gets you from A to B - nothing has suddenly changed.
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As a side note, the environmentalists should be looking into the amount of tech and cars being manufactured every year. There's literally more stuff out there than people can possibly buy. There's no need for all that stuff to be manufactured day in and day out, trying to weasel people into buying it all because the specs sheet promises a tiny performance boost that almost nobody can feel anyway without a direct benchmark comparison on hand...
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Shhh..
Just enjoy it dude.. the consumer lifestyle fuels the economy and ultimately makes your salary what it is.
The biggest winners are obviously those who sell the stuff, but those who dont buy the stuff also get to live a materially better life than if everyone else spent their money wisely.
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Yeah, but I have a short fuse for BS and I'd like to strive for the "greater good" rather than personal gain. I do believe that if people managed their finances better - the world would also be a better place overall, in many ways. And, perhaps, we wouldn't have the "green" scams about the climate that make companies more money at the cost of regular people. It's crazy.