Nvidia says GPU shortages will improve by second half of 2022, just before RTX 40 launches

Written by Stuart Thomas on Fri, Jan 14, 2022 3:08 PM

It’s no secret that the past couple years have not been good for PC gamers, at least in terms of hardware. Not only is availability low, but because demand is so high as well we have often seen prices skyrocket above their original MSRP, with no sign of getting better. Now Nvidia believes supply will improve a lot more in the second half of 2022, right before the launch of their RTX 40 series GPUs.

So even throughout all of calendar 2021, we have seen strong demand for GeForce. And it continues to remain strong and stronger than our overall supply that we have,” said Colette Kress, CFO at Nvidia. “The holiday demand, for example, was quite strong, particularly in laptops. And we're still finishing out our quarter.

But we'll look at the end of the quarter in terms of what we've seen in terms of channel levels. We had seen channel levels be quite lean, and we are working with our supply chain partners to increase the availability of supply. And we feel better about our supply situation as we move into the second half of the calendar year '22.

It’s not exactly a guarantee that supply will get much better in 2H 2022, but it is a sign of improvement, if only a little. At the same time, many other companies stated that the end of 2022/2023 will be when things start to ease up (like AMD, Acer, TSMC and Intel etc.), as many new factories have been built to keep up with demand.

Nvidia hasn’t stated exactly what the reason for the supply improvement will be, but it will conveniently come right before their next-gen RTX 40 series of graphics cards will launch. According to a recent rumor, Nvidia has spent billions in order to acquire a large amount of wafers from TSMC for their RTX 40 series GPUs, so it seems that Nvidia is preparing much more for a massive wave of demand at launch this time round compared to the RTX 30 series.

2022 also marks the year that Ethereum will move to a proof-of-stake model, effectively rendering GPU mining useless for the coin. That will hopefully have an impact on GPU demand and therefore supply, leaving more for actual gamers. But the world of cryptocurrency remains ever elusive, and it’s not exactly a guarantee (though one can hope!).

What do you think? Do you believe GPU shortages will improve by the second half of the year? Do you think Nvidia will prepare more in terms of supply at launch for their RTX 40 series cards? Or do you think this is all just wishful thinking once again to get our hopes up? And will crypto mining popularity die down this year, improving supply and prices even more for gamers? Let us know your thoughts!

Do you believe GPU supply will be better in 2H 2022?

Do you think RTX 40 series will have better supply and pricing at launch than RTX 30 series?

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19:47 Jan-17-2022

I doubt it. If you look at lead times on many chips, the next shipment is often at the beginning of 2023, so don't expect a big improvement.

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09:32 Jan-16-2022

I think many people are using mining for heating now during winter, it will drop in summer due to hot temperatures so I expect demand and prices to also go down.

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08:43 Jan-16-2022

For those who are planning to UPGRADE their GPU to TI VERSION. Who is very EAGER to get a 3090TI. YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED!

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admin approved badge
12:24 Jan-15-2022

"pats on gamers' shoulders saying prices will get better..


"releases $250 x50 series graphics card

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-17
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11:13 Jan-15-2022

I knew something like this would come. What I expect to see in the NEXT NVIDIA ANNOUNCEMENT that RTX 4070 is more powerful than the RTX 3080/3080 TI. Or RTX 4090 is much more powerful than the RTX 3090/3090 TI at HALF of the PRICE.

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22:46 Jan-14-2022

I can't wait for that 500w 4090 Ti that's supposedly better in every way but with the MSRP being $4000


No wait sorry, $3999

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19:48 Jan-14-2022

See thats why im like should i upgrade to the new intel cards or the RTX 3050 card when it drops. No idea at this point with prices now.

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junior admin badge
21:45 Jan-14-2022

If you're considering Intel GPU's I would advise you to wait till you see game benchmarks.

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17:36 Jan-14-2022

If they cared about normalizing the supply/demand chain, (read: consumer pricing,) they would delay the launch of the 40 series by up to a year, or at least 6 months. It would also be helpful if they stopped watering down the 30 series and stick to just producing the necessary cards. A scheme like: Low(3050), Mid(3070), High(3080), Enthusiast(3090).


But as is, they're just spreading everything too thin and not allowing the supply for any given card to return to normal. Dropping a whole new line of cards right when supplies are supposed to moderately rebound will only continue the scarcity of any cards.

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18:01 Jan-14-2022

They are sticking to producing necessary cards. Just new iterations of them at a much higher profit margin while stopping production for earlier "better" priced cards. They just add a bit of RAM or bus speed and call it a day.

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21:12 Jan-14-2022

It looks to me, (correct me if I'm wrong,) like they are currently producing


3090ti(not released but in production)


3090


3080ti


3080+(not released but in production)


3080


3070ti+


3070ti


3070


3060ti


3060


3050ti(not actually announced tmk but I'm sure it will be)


3050


And that doesn't include the laptop series.


Way too thin for current conditions.

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19:47 Jan-14-2022

Having both the RTX 3080 and RTX 3090 is redundant and the performance difference is like 10-15% as the RTX 3080 is a cut-down rtx 3090, both are GA102 chip.


It should be:


RTX 3050 - GA108 - low-end


RTX 3060 - GA 106 -mid-range


RTX 3070 - GA104(full like the RTX 3070Ti) - high-end


RTX 3080 - GA102(full like the rtx 3090TI) - Enthusiast

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17:07 Jan-14-2022

Nah, not until TSMC has the new production plant up and running and that is scheduled for 2023 iirc.

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15:29 Jan-14-2022

It will improve by the second half and immediately get even worse courtesy of the 40 series launch.

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17:08 Jan-14-2022

Meh, I don't mind cheap RX 6600s and RTX 3060s(or better) second hand that would last about an year or so as long as I can get more performance than my current GPU.

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Can They Run... |

Core i7-2620M 2-Core 2.7GHz NVS 4200M 8GB
| 60FPS, High, 1080p
Ryzen 3 3100 4-Core 3.6GHz GeForce RTX 3050 16GB
| 60FPS, High, 1440p
Core i7-12700K 16-Core 3.6GHz GeForce RTX 3080 16GB Mobile 32GB
Ryzen 7 4800H 8-Core 2.9GHz GeForce RTX 3050 Mobile 16GB
100% Yes [1 votes]
| 60FPS, High, 4k
Ryzen 5 5600X 6-Core 3.7GHz GeForce RTX 3060 Ultra 16GB
Core i5-9400F 6-Core 2.9GHz GeForce GTX 1660 16GB
100% Yes [1 votes]
| 30FPS, Medium, 1080p
Core i5-4690 3.5GHz GeForce GTX 1050 Ti Asus Expedition 4GB 14GB
50% Yes [2 votes]
| 60FPS, Ultra, 1080p
Ryzen 7 5800X 8-Core 3.8GHz GeForce GTX 1060 MSI 6GT OC 16GB
100% Yes [2 votes]
| 60FPS, Medium, 1080p
Core 2 Quad Q8400 2.66GHz GeForce GTX 670 DirectCU II Edition 8GB
Ryzen R3 1200 GeForce GTX 1050 Ti 4GB 8GB
100% Yes [1 votes]